North Carolina St.
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
88  Joanna Thompson SO 19:59
216  Erin Mercer SR 20:24
224  Samantha George FR 20:25
228  Samantha Norman JR 20:26
303  Kaitlyn Kramer FR 20:36
488  Tiayonna Blackmon SR 20:57
509  Sheridan Jordan FR 20:58
1,791  Ryanna Henderson JR 22:25
2,050  Olivia Enright FR 22:42
2,060  Erin Foshee FR 22:43
2,332  Kaitlyn Davis SO 23:02
National Rank #31 of 339
Southeast Region Rank #4 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 64.1%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 17.8%


Regional Champion 5.6%
Top 5 in Regional 98.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Joanna Thompson Erin Mercer Samantha George Samantha Norman Kaitlyn Kramer Tiayonna Blackmon Sheridan Jordan Ryanna Henderson Olivia Enright Erin Foshee Kaitlyn Davis
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 09/28 644 19:58 20:11 20:25 20:27 20:44 20:51 21:07 22:24 22:57
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 681 19:57 20:33 20:24 20:34 20:29 20:55 21:03
Blue Ridge Open Meet 10/12 22:43 22:26 23:03
ACC Championships 10/27 20:00 20:27 20:39
Southeast Region Championships 11/09 730 20:02 20:27 21:04 20:13 20:45 21:08 21:00





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 64.1% 23.7 554 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.4 4.3 5.2 4.2 4.9 4.9 6.3
Region Championship 100% 2.8 121 5.6 34.8 40.7 13.6 4.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joanna Thompson 66.5% 79.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3
Erin Mercer 64.1% 148.5 0.0
Samantha George 64.1% 152.4
Samantha Norman 64.1% 152.3
Kaitlyn Kramer 64.1% 179.5
Tiayonna Blackmon 64.1% 222.0
Sheridan Jordan 64.1% 224.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joanna Thompson 11.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.3 3.5 4.6 6.2 9.6 10.1 10.6 10.2 8.1 7.3 5.9 4.4 3.6 3.0 2.0 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.4
Erin Mercer 23.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.3 2.5 2.6 3.3 3.4 3.9 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.9 5.2 4.6 5.1 4.2
Samantha George 24.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.0 2.9 3.3 3.2 3.6 4.4 4.6 4.6 4.4 5.6 4.5 4.0 4.6
Samantha Norman 24.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.7 3.7 4.2 4.1 4.5 4.9 4.3 5.0 4.9 4.4 5.0
Kaitlyn Kramer 32.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.4 3.0 2.9 3.4
Tiayonna Blackmon 50.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
Sheridan Jordan 52.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 5.6% 100.0% 5.6 5.6 1
2 34.8% 100.0% 34.8 34.8 2
3 40.7% 48.5% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.6 2.6 3.0 3.8 5.4 21.0 19.8 3
4 13.6% 27.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.2 9.9 3.7 4
5 4.1% 5.9% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 3.8 0.2 5
6 1.0% 1.0 6
7 0.2% 0.2 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 0.0% 0.0 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 64.1% 5.6 34.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.4 1.9 3.0 3.8 4.7 6.6 35.9 40.4 23.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
SMU 23.6% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 14.9% 2.0 0.3
Wisconsin 12.8% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Northwestern 7.9% 2.0 0.2
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 3.7% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 2.9% 2.0 0.1
BYU 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio U. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 8.0